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There is a point in the story of the chinese historian who, when asked what he thought about the french revolution, replied that no serious historian could yet be expected to have an opinion about so recent an event. Maculay regarded the nineteenth century as a century of progress, Spengler and Toynbee as a century of decay. Even if we are content with a common-sense general view of progress and do not attempt a precise definition, we have today frankly no means of deciding which view is ringht.
Will our posterity judge the nineteenth century as the beginnning of a great new period of human achievemnet or as the beginning of the end of our civilization? We do not know what to think about the nineteenth century for the simple reason that the history of the nineteenth century is still in the making. The historian of A.D. 2,000 will be in a better case to pronounce judgment.
But need we accept even his verdict - especially as it may easily be reversed by the historian of A.D. 2,500? Two thousand years hence the final verdict on the nineteenth century may will be as uncertanin as it is today.
There is a point in the story of the chinese historian who, when asked what he thought about the french revolution, replied that no serious historian could yet be expected to have an opinion about so recent an event. Maculay regarded the nineteenth century as a century of progress, Spengler and Toynbee as a century of decay. Even if we are content with a common-sense general view of progress and do not attempt a precise definition, we have today frankly no means of deciding which view is ringht.
Will our posterity judge the nineteenth century as the beginnning of a great new period of human achievemnet or as the beginning of the end of our civilization? We do not know what to think about the nineteenth century for the simple reason that the history of the nineteenth century is still in the making. The historian of A.D. 2,000 will be in a better case to pronounce judgment.
But need we accept even his verdict - especially as it may easily be reversed by the historian of A.D. 2,500? Two thousand years hence the final verdict on the nineteenth century may will be as uncertanin as it is today.