[Main Match] June 8 Friendly England vs Iceland International Football Analysis Sports Analysis
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❶ Key Analysis
⦁ England (FIFA Rank 4 / WDWLD)
Despite omitting key players like Rice and Kane, they shot down Bosnia with a 3-0 victory. With Rice and Kane on the field, their passing game was notably efficient. This suggests that England should perform well in the upcoming match. They also managed to score multiple goals against a 5-defender setup, dispelling any doubts about their open play tactics.
- Absentees: Chilwell (LB / B-grade), Henderson (CM / A-grade), Rashford (FW / B-grade) ➤ Total strength impact: -13%
⦁ Iceland (FIFA Rank 72 / LWWLW)
They are suffering from a chronic lack of personnel. The squad that stunned England in Euro 2016 is gradually fading. Currently, apart from Gudjohnsen, no player has significantly impacted international matches. They are likely to rely on defense and counter-attacks, but with England's current strength far surpassing their 2016 squad and their ability to break down dense defenses, Iceland will face significant challenges.
- Absentees: Palsson (DF / A-grade), Magnusson (DF / A-grade), Sigurdsson (AM / A-grade), Bjarnason (MF / A-grade), Gunnarsson (MF / A-grade), Finnbogason (FW / A-grade), Gudmundsson (FW / A-grade) ➤ Total strength impact: -15%
➋ Betting Data
○ Expected Goals (xG): 1.65 goals vs 1.27 goals
○ Both Teams to Score (BTTS): 50%
○ Combined Expected Goals: 3.00 goals
○ Head-to-Head Record: 3 matches, 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss (England's advantage)
○ Previous Matches Under/Over (3.5 goals): Under (67%)
○ Both Teams Scoring in Past Encounters (BTTS): 33%
➌ Game Outlook & Recommended Bets
England is likely to secure a comfortable victory. They managed to score multiple goals against even the most defensive setups, and their key players were rested in the previous match. Iceland is struggling with the departure of their 2016 generation and a limited talent pool.
➍ 3-Point Summary
[Standard Win/Draw/Lose] England Win (Recommended)
[Handicap -1.0] England Win (Recommended)
[Over/Under 3.5] Over (Not Recommended)