[Major Match] June 8 Friendly Germany vs Greece Overseas Soccer Analysis Sports Analysis
-
Editing and deleting posts requires login
❶ Key Analysis
⦁ Germany (FIFA Ranking 16 / LLLWD)
The experiment in the first match was a failure. Although their pressing and development abilities have improved perfectly since March, positioning Havertz as the frontline striker resulted in poor finishing capabilities. If the traditional striker, Füllkrug, steps in, the finishing abilities might improve. In the last match, they also managed to overpower Ukraine in performance, recording a high expected goal (xG) of 2.40.
- Absentees: Hummels (CB / A-level), Ginter (DF / B-level), Süle (CB / B-level), Goretzka (CM / B-level), Brandt (AM / B-level), Gnabry (RW / B-level), Can (DM / B-level), Werner (FW / B-level) ➤ -13% of total strength
● Greece (FIFA Ranking 50 / DWWDL)
Greece's defense is quite solid. Their team color itself emphasizes a suffocating defense with four defensive midfielders. They managed fairly well against France, conceding three goals in two matches. However, post their 5-0 victory over Kazakhstan, their attacking quality has significantly declined. Against Georgia in the playoffs, they only recorded two shots on target and ended up losing in a penalty shootout.
- Absentees: Tzavellas (DF / A-level), Tsimikas (DF / B-level), Zeca (MF / B-level), Giakoumakis (FW / B-level) ➤ -15% of total strength
➋ Betting Data
○ Expected goals (xG): 1.13 vs 0.94
○ Both teams to score (BTTS): 40%
○ Combined expected goals: 3.00
➌ Major Foreign Media Predictions
[Betting closed] 2-2 (Draw)
➍ Match Outlook & Recommended Bets
Germany's victory and under 2.5 goals are anticipated. If Füllkrug plays, the finishing would improve compared to a scenario with Havertz upfront. Germany’s pressing and build-up play have consistently been good in March friendlies. While Greece's strong defense cannot be ignored, their significant attacking struggles are disappointing.
➎ 3-line Summary
[Win/Draw/Lose] Germany win (recommended)
[Handicap / -1.0] Draw (not recommended)
[Under/Over / 2.5] Under (recommended)
❶ Key Analysis