[July 4, 11:10 AM MLB Game: Seattle vs. Baltimore]
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Seattle
Logan Gilbert (5 wins, 4 losses, 2.72 ERA) is aiming for his 6th win of the season. In the home game against Minnesota on the 29th, Gilbert showed excellent pitching with 6 innings and 2 runs allowed. In June, he had an overwhelming performance with 2 wins, 1 loss, and a 1.51 ERA. Last year, he secured a win in an away game against Baltimore with 7 innings, 2 hits, and 1 run allowed, showcasing his strength as a pitcher known for his powerful performances in home night games. In the previous game, Seattle's batting lineup failed to counter Grayson Rodriguez, resulting in a 2-hit shutout loss, revealing their weakness against fastballs. Their scoring position performance with 0 hits in 5 at-bats was a bonus. The bullpen, which held scoreless for 2.2 innings, tends to pitch well only when losing.
Baltimore
Dean Kremer (3 wins, 4 losses, 4.32 ERA) is making his return from injury. After a loss with 4 innings and 5 runs allowed in an away game against St. Louis on May 21, he was sidelined with a right triceps injury and is making his comeback after about a month. Last year, he pitched 7 innings and allowed 3 runs against Seattle at home, but this year’s away pitching has been good, though his home run allowance rate during night games is very high at 1 per every 3 innings, which is a significant problem. Baltimore's batting lineup, which scored 2 runs against George Kirby in the previous game, although they won, is likely to face scrutiny for its performance issues when no home runs are hit. Their scoring position performance of 2 hits in 10 at-bats needs improvement. The bullpen, which removed 2.2 innings, seems to have benefited quite a bit from 2 days of rest.
Comment
Performance drops if the teams are not from the same division. Seattle's batting lineup showed its weakness clearly in the previous game. Considering Gilbert is strong at home, the match-up between Gilbert and Kremer is likely to be quite close. However, in recent close games, Baltimore's bullpen has shown slightly more stability than Seattle's, and this factor will ultimately decide the game. Baltimore Orioles, with their superior pitching, are closer to victory.
Recommended Betting
[[Win/Loss]]: Baltimore Win
[[Handicap]]: +1.5 Baltimore Win
[[U/O]]: 7.5 Under ▼