July 4, 2023, 7:40 AM MLB: Miami vs. Boston
-
Editing and deleting posts requires login
◈ Miami
Trevor Rogers (1 win, 8 losses, 4.87 ERA) is challenging for his second win of the season. Rogers showed a pitching performance of 3 runs in 6 innings in an away game against Philadelphia on the 28th, and his pitching has improved considerably in June with 2 losses and a 3.56 ERA. He made a definite rebound at home, but the fact that he has no wins in night games with 4 losses and a 5.40 ERA cannot be simply attributed to luck. Miami's batting lineup, which managed only 3 runs including 2 home runs against Crawford and Kelly in the previous game, is highly inconsistent. The aftereffects of failing to bring the good performance from away games to home games are significant. The bullpen, which allowed 3 runs in 4 innings, still lacks stability.
◈ Boston
Bryan Bello (7 wins, 5 losses, 5.55 ERA) is aiming for his 8th win of the season. Bello suffered a loss due to a poor performance of 7 runs in 2.1 innings in a home game against Toronto on the 26th, revealing his weakness at home once again. His pitching has been very inconsistent in away games, with a record of 5 wins and 3 losses with a 6.04 ERA in night games, and his substantial collapses will be a variable. In the previous game, Boston's batting lineup thoroughly dominated Miami's pitchers, scoring 8 runs including 2 home runs, and the contributions from left-handed batters were significant. A scoring position record of 4 hits in 9 at-bats indicates the team's strong away performance. However, the bullpen, which allowed 2 runs in 3 innings, left much to be desired, particularly with Zack Kelly's pitching.
◈ Commentary
It is not an exaggeration to say that the previous game showcased Boston's firepower. Given their strength against left-handed pitchers, they are likely to have an advantage against Rogers. However, Miami's lineup also fares well against sinkers, and we can expect a good performance against Bello, who struggles in night away games. Nonetheless, Boston has a better bullpen, and their late-game firepower is hard to compare. Overall, the Boston Red Sox, who are superior in strength, are closer to victory.
◈ Recommended Betting
[[Win/Loss]]: Boston Win
[[Handicap]]: -1.5 Boston Win
[[U/O]]: Over 8.5 ▲