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Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles Game Analysis

Seattle Mariners

The Seattle Mariners, whose poor offense has led to a three-game losing streak, will have Logan Gilbert (5-4, 2.72 ERA) aiming for his sixth win of the season. Gilbert showed excellent pitching in 6 innings with 2 earned runs in a home game against Minnesota on the 29th and recorded an overwhelming performance in June with 2 wins, 1 loss, and a 1.51 ERA. Last year, he won against Baltimore on the road, pitching 7 innings with 2 hits and 1 earned run. His biggest strength is his effectiveness in home night games. The Mariners' offense, which failed to target Grayson Rodriguez in the previous game and suffered a two-hit shutout, revealed its vulnerability to fastballs. The 0-for-5 performance in scoring position was just a bonus. The bullpen, which held out for 2.2 scoreless innings, only pitches well when the team loses.

Baltimore Orioles

The Baltimore Orioles, who managed to seize the initiative with excellent pitching, will have Dean Kremer (3-4, 4.32 ERA) returning from an injury. Kremer lost in 4 innings with 5 earned runs on a road game against St. Louis on May 21 before sidelining due to a right tricep injury, making this his first game back in about a month. Last year against Seattle at home, he pitched 7 innings with 3 earned runs, but this year his road pitching has been good, although his home run rate in night games is quite high at one home run per 3 innings. Baltimore's offense scored 2 runs against George Kirby in the previous game; despite their victory, their performance issue when home runs do not occur could be a matter of concern again. The 2-for-10 performance in scoring position is an area they need to improve. The bullpen, which pitched 2.2 scoreless innings, seemed to benefit significantly from the 2 days of rest.

Game Prediction

Performance declines when not playing against teams from the same division. The Mariners' offense revealed this weakness without reservation in the previous game. Given that Gilbert is strong at home, the match-up between Gilbert and Kremer is likely to be closely contested. However, Baltimore's bullpen has been slightly more reliable in recent close games, which will likely be the deciding factor. The Baltimore Orioles with their superior pitching are closer to victory.

Predicted Score

3:2 Baltimore Wins

Handicap Prediction

Baltimore Wins

Under/Over Prediction

Under