July 4, 2023 Elite Tese Sanepio vs Tromsø IL Match Preview
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July 04 Elite Series Sandefjord vs Tromsø IL Match Analysis
❶ Key Analysis
Sandefjord (Norwegian First Division 16th / L-D-D-L)
At home, their dominance does improve. However, their overall play is likely to be highly inaccurate. They prefer using long kicks and quickly pushing it forward to wingers or the front, which is a drawback. Thus, their attacking prowess is quite inconsistent, and currently, aside from Markovic, no player appears to be in particularly good form.
- Absentees: Nilsson (DF / B-grade), Tyvell (FW / C-grade)
Tromsø (Norwegian First Division 14th / D-W-W-L-L)
Tromsø may opt to sacrifice some possession. While their central play isn't very weak, they generally perform better at home, where they hold about 40% possession. Against Sandefjord, they have maintained a good record of clean sheets. If they approach the game with solid defense and counterattacks, their efficiency could be quite high.
- Absentees: Koskela (CB / C-grade), Ernellin (FW / A-grade)
➋ Betting Data
○ Expected Goals (xG): 1.41 vs 1.30
○ Both Teams to Score (BTTS) probability: 43%
○ Combined Expected Goals: 2.60
○ Head-to-head record: 4 wins, 7 draws, 5 losses (Tromsø advantage)
○ Under/Over in previous encounters: tied (50%)
○ Both Teams to Score (BTTS) rate in previous encounters: 63%
➌ Major Foreign Predictions
[Predcitz] 1-0 (Sandefjord win)
➍ Match Outlook & Recommended Bets
There might be room to anticipate Tromsø's advantage. Even if the home team maintains high possession, their inaccurate box play could be a setback. Notably, Tromsø’s strong recent performances against Sandefjord, focusing on defense and efficiency, should be considered.
➎ 3-line Summary
[Win/Draw/Lose] Tromsø win (Recommended)
[Handicap / -1.0] Tromsø win (Recommended)
[Under/Over / 2.5] Under (Recommended)