Analysis and Prediction of MLB Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals Game on July 3 at 07:40
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Pittsburgh
Mitch Keller (9 wins, 4 losses, 3.20 ERA) aims for his 10th win of the season. Keller had a somewhat embarrassing win during the away game against Cincinnati on the 26th, pitching 52 innings and allowing 4 runs but failing to overcome his away game struggles. Although he lost with 4 runs allowed in 6 innings during the June 14 away game against St. Louis, his strong home performance suggests he can make a comeback. Pittsburgh's batting lineup, which scored 4 points with two home runs against Schwellenbach in Monday's game, still seems to struggle despite the win. Nonetheless, they have the capability to compete well against right-handed pitchers. The bullpen, which allowed 1 run in 4 innings, is certainly feeling the absence of closer Bednar.
St. Louis
Kyle Gibson (5 wins, 3 losses, 3.70 ERA) is aiming for his 6th win of the season. Gibson suffered a loss with 4 runs allowed in 4 innings during the home game against Atlanta on the 27th, but he has been showing better performance in away games compared to home games recently. Given his stable pitching in night games, there is potential for a rebound. St. Louis's batting lineup, which only scored 2 points against Greene and Moll in Monday's game, appears to be struggling significantly at home recently. Failing to handle fastballs could be a problematic aspect in this series. The bullpen, which cleared 3 innings, now seems to be functioning properly.
Comment
Recently, St. Louis has not been able to score many runs against fastball pitchers. Considering Mitch Keller's home advantage, it seems this will be a difficult game. It largely depends on how well Gibson holds up, but Pittsburgh's batting lineup handles right-handed pitchers well, and the bullpen has been reliable at home. The Pittsburgh Pirates, with the home advantage, are closer to securing the win.
Recommended Betting
[[Win/Loss]]: Pittsburgh Win
[[Handicap]]: -1.5 Pittsburgh Win
[[U/O]]: Under 8.5 ▼