June 7th World Cup Qualifiers Afghanistan vs. Qatar Overseas Soccer Analysis Sports Analysis
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❶ Key Analysis
● Afghanistan (FIFA ranking 158 / Loss-Defeat-Draw-Win)
Motivation is stronger on this side. This is because there are still scenarios where India, Afghanistan, and Kuwait can all take second place. In situations where Afghanistan has the home advantage, there was an aspect where they controlled Qatar well with a 0-1 score. Of course, you have to take into account that the overall game pace was given to Qatar. The aim for Afghanistan is to lose by a small margin even if they lose.
- Absentees: Sayeste(MF / A-grade), Noor(MF / B-grade), Sharifi(FW / B-grade) ➤ Total strength -13%
● Qatar (FIFA ranking 37 / Draw-Win-Win-Win)
Qatar's scoring ability remains threatening. They have consistently scored 2 or more goals against every team they’ve met in the second qualifying round. Of course, there is little motivation for the remaining two qualifying matches as they have already secured first place in the group early on. It’s not like they fail to earn points on the road either, with 9 goals in 4 away matches this year.
- Absentees: Al Sheeb(GK / A-grade), Khoukhi(DF / A-grade), Miguel(DF / A-grade), Kheder(DF / B-grade), Al Haydos(MF / A-grade), Boudiaf(MF / A-grade), Madibo(MF / A-grade), Muntari(FW / A-grade) ➤ Total strength -15%
➋ Betting Data
○ Expected Goals (xG): 0.89 goals vs 1.69 goals
○ Both Teams to Score (BTTS): 55%
○ Total Expected Goals: 3.00 goals
○ Previous Head-to-Head Record: 3 matches 0 wins 0 draws 3 losses (Advantage to Qatar)
○ Over/Under in previous matches: Over (67%) (3.5 threshold)
○ Both Teams to Score in previous matches: 33%
➍ Match Scenario & Recommended Betting
Qatar is likely to win. However, Afghanistan is expected to go with a full defensive stance and try to control Qatar. In such a scenario, Qatar might struggle a bit against Afghanistan. Having secured first place early, Qatar might not need to push aggressively.
➎ 3-Line Summary
Win/Draw/Loss] Qatar Win (Recommended)
[Handicap / +4.0] Qatar Win (Not Recommended)
[Over/Under / 5.5] Under (Not Recommended)