June 23rd J2 League Akita vs Shimizu Asian Football Analysis Sports Analysis
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❶ Key Analysis
● Akita (10th in Japan's J2 League / DDDLL)
It's hard to trust in Akita's attacking power. Especially since Shimizu is likely to extend their possession play, Akita's overall offensive approach is quite monotonous with long balls. However, Akita does defend relatively well against Shimizu. Akita's strength lies in lowering the accuracy of the opponent's build-up play. It's valid to describe Akita's style as 'swamp football.'
- Absentees: Onohara(MF / A-grade), Yoshioka(DF / B-grade) ➤ Total power reduction -11%
● Shimizu (1st in the league / WLWWL)
The reason Shimizu finds it tricky to face Akita is that their play heavily relies on the precision of midfielders. Thus, Shimizu struggles significantly when Akita sets up a solid block. In fact, Shimizu has never scored more than two goals against Akita. Recently, Shimizu has lost three consecutive away games without scoring, indicating a need to regain their away form.
- Absentees: Kato(FW / C-grade), Hazukawa(CB / B-grade), Nishizawa(MF / B-grade) ➤ Total power reduction -12%
➋ Betting Data
○ Expected Goals (xG): 1.52 goals vs 1.48 goals
○ Both Teams to Score (BTTS) possibility: 40%
○ Total expected goals for both teams: 2.36 goals
○ Previous head-to-head record: 3 games, 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss (evenly matched)
○ Under/Over in previous head-to-heads: Under (100%)
○ Both teams scored in previous matches (BTTS): 33%
➌ Major Foreign Predictions
[Predictz] 1-1 (Draw)
➍ Match Outline & Recommended Bets
Consider betting on under 2.5 goals as the first priority and a draw is also possible. The key point is that Akita has performed well against Shimizu. Especially, Akita's play that decreases the accuracy of Shimizu's build-up play can earn them points. However, Akita also maintains a certain level of monotony in their attack.
➎ 3-Line Summary
[Win/Draw/Lose] Draw (suggested)
[Handicap / +1.0] Akita win (not suggested)
[Under/Over / 2.5] Under (suggested)