June 23 MLB Cincinnati vs. Boston Overseas Baseball Analysis Sports Analysis
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The Cincinnati Reds, having successfully captured the early lead through the excellent performance of their pitching staff, will have Frankie Montas (3 wins, 5 losses, 4.62 ERA) attempting his fourth win of the season. In his latest outing on the 17th against Milwaukee, Montas was somewhat disappointing, allowing three runs in five innings. His performance has not been great in his last two starts. Recently, his home game pitching hasn't been good either, with a day game ERA of 4.84 and an opponent batting average of .286, which is notably high. The Reds' batting lineup managed to score five runs, including three home runs, against Cutter Crawford in the previous game, which highlights their reliance on power hitting despite a lack of explosiveness. Jameel Candelario, who hit two home runs and drove in two runs by himself, is quickly adapting to the Reds. The bullpen, which held the opponent scoreless with two hits over 3.1 innings, seems to have assigned setup duties to Nick Martinez.
The Boston Red Sox, whose streak was broken due to the lackluster performance of their lineup and starting pitcher, will see Nick Pivetta (4 wins, 4 losses, 3.88 ERA) challenge for his fifth win of the season. Pivetta showcased excellent crisis management in his seven-inning, three-run performance for a win against Toronto on the 18th. Considering his exceptional performance during day games this year, with a 3-1 record, a 2.53 ERA, and a .182 opponent batting average, there is ample reason to expect another strong outing from him. In the previous game, Boston's lineup only managed two runs from two home runs against pitcher Abbott, indicating residual effects from travel. The struggles of their left-handed batters, who were confidently lined up against a left-handed pitcher, stood out. The bullpen effectively managed its tactics, matching the effort to the game's circumstances, by pitching 1.2 scoreless innings.
Boston, which faced an unexpected blow with a regular lineup instead of a targeted one, may show a different side in this game. Montas clearly has a weakness in day games, and Boston's lineup performs quite well against right-handed pitchers. Meanwhile, Cincinnati, as their performance against Crawford shows, can also handle right-handed pitching, but Pivetta is known to be a day game specialist. The Boston Red Sox appear to be closer to victory due to their superior strength.
Predicted Score: 6:4 Boston Win
Handicap: Boston Win
Over/Under: Over