September 1 MLB Arizona: LA Dodgers MLB Analysis
-
Editing and deleting posts requires login
◈Arizona
Merrill Kelly (4 wins, 3.98 ERA) is aiming for his 5th win of the season. After a victory with 4 earned runs over 6 innings against Boston on the 26th, Kelly has been struggling with 4 or more earned runs allowed in two consecutive away games, indicating a decline in his away performance compared to previous years. However, he has shown strength at home, and this aspect must be leveraged in the upcoming game. Despite losing the previous game, Arizona's lineup exploded against the Dodgers’ pitching, scoring 9 runs including 2 home runs, which is encouraging as it signifies their home offensive power is back. The 4 runs scored in the bottom of the 9th could be a significant advantage for this game. However, the bullpen allowing 5 earned runs over 4 innings highlights the painful struggles of Sewald.
◈LA Dodgers
Gavin Stone (11 wins, 5 losses, 3.33 ERA) is pursuing his 12th win of the season. Stone secured a victory with 1 earned run over 7 innings against Tampa Bay at home on the 26th, and he has been on a hot streak with 1 earned run over 19 innings and 8 hits in his last 3 games. The issue, however, is his extreme weakness against Arizona this year, and he sometimes falters in away games. The Dodgers' lineup hit 10 runs including 3 home runs against Arizona's pitchers in the previous game, showcasing a frighteningly strong performance from the top hitters. Shohei Ohtani, achieving an unprecedented 43 homers, continues to add 1 home run and 1 stolen base each game. However, after the early exit of Kershaw, the bullpen allowed 6 earned runs over 8 innings, making bullpen management for this game very challenging.
◈Comment
The previous game should have been an easy win for the Dodgers, but they ended up collapsing towards the end. This impact is likely to carry over into this game. Stone has not performed well against Arizona, and the away game adds another variable. Although Kelly has many question marks surrounding his pitching this year, he can be expected to pitch well at home. Above all, considering the bullpen fatigue of both teams, the Dodgers may reach a level where they need to abandon effective bullpen usage in this or the next game. Arizona Diamondbacks, with superior pitching, are closer to victory.
◈Recommended Betting
[[Win/Loss]]: Arizona Win
[[Handicap]]: +1.5 Arizona Win
[[U/O]]: 8.5 Over ▲