September 1 02:05 MLB New York Yankees: St. Louis MLB Analysis

September 1 02:05 MLB New York Yankees: St. Louis MLB Analysis

date_time 2024-08-31 17:10:02 comment
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**New York Yankees**
Will Warren (2 losses, 9.68 ERA) is trying for his first win of the season. Warren suffered a loss in his home game against Colorado on the 25th, allowing 6 runs in 3 innings, showing he cannot carry over his away game performance at home. It wouldn’t be an exaggeration to say he is currently a must-lose pitcher in home games. The Yankees' lineup, after targeting Peddy and O’Brien in the previous game and scoring 6 runs including 2 home runs, is continuing their trend of hitting home runs. Austin Wells, scoring 2 home runs and 4 RBIs, fulfilled his role as the cleanup hitter effectively. The bullpen allowed just 1 run over 2 innings, and Clay Holmes' perfect save is a welcome sight.

**St. Louis**
Kyle Gibson (7 wins, 6 losses, 4.54 ERA) is aiming for his 8th win of the season. Gibson had a rough outing against San Diego at home on the 27th, giving up 7 runs in 4.1 innings, leading to a loss. He had a terrible month of August with 2 losses and a 6.91 ERA. He has been shaky away, but pitching during the day has been a little better, which should be leveraged. In the previous game, the St. Louis lineup only managed 3 runs, including a solo home run from a surprised Arenado against Stroman and Kuznets. The lineup continues its recent slump, with 3 double plays being particularly damaging. The bullpen gave up 2 runs over 2.2 innings, with a 2-run home run given up to Wells breaking their will to rally.

**Comment**
The matchup between the shaky Warren at home and the struggling Gibson on the road can be seen as a draw, with a high possibility of being a slugfest. However, Warren struggles significantly in the early innings of home games, which will likely lead to giving away the flow of the game early on. Colorado's losing streak was also snapped likewise. The starting advantage lies with the St. Louis Cardinals, who are closer to victory.

**Recommended Betting**
[[Win/Loss]]: St. Louis Win
[[Handicap]]: +1.5 St. Louis Win
[[U/O]]: 9.5 Over



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