August 25 K League Suwon FC Jeju Asian Football Analysis Sports Analysis
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Suwon FC (Korea Republic 1st division 5th place / WLDWL)
It is true that Suwon FC benefited from the opponent's red card in the last match against Ulsan. However, both Anderson and Jeong Seung-won dominated in the speed match against the opponent, so it wasn't that Suwon FC had poor performance but managed to secure a victory. Especially against Jeju, they are likely to have an edge in energy levels. Jeju is usually weak on the road, and the fact that they will have come off a midweek match could be a significant advantage.
- Injured players: Lee Jun-seok (LW / Grade B), Ahn Byung-jun (FW / Grade B)
Jeju (Korea Republic 1st division 8th place / Recent form: LWLDD)
From Jeju's perspective, there were some achievements in the last match. Nam Tae-hee and Kim Joo-gong, who have been Jeju's midfield concerns, both recorded attacking points. However, due to a lack of stamina, they ended up with a draw, and the subsequent risk of playing away matches is considerable. Particularly since the FA Cup first leg was at home, the fatigue levels of Jeju's players are likely to be quite high going into this match.
- Injured players: Kim Hyun-woo (FW / Grade B), Kim Geon-woong (MF / Grade B), Choi Young-jun (MF / Grade B), Lim Chae-min (DF / Grade A), Lee Ju-yong (LB / Grade A), Koo Ja-cheol (MF / Grade A)
➋ Betting Data
○ Expected Goals (xG): 1.76 goals vs 1.57 goals
○ Both teams to score (BTTS) probability: 54%
○ Combined expected goals for both teams: 2.35 goals
○ Previous head-to-head record: 19 matches 5 wins 6 draws 8 losses (Jeju advantage)
○ Previous match outcome under/over: Under (53%)
○ Instances of both teams scoring in previous matches (BTTS): 47%
➌ Major External Predictions
[Predictz] 2-0 (Suwon FC win)
➍ Match Outlook & Betting Recommendations
Suwon FC is expected to win at around 2-1. Suwon FC has shown better mobility and effectively attacked Ulsan. Jeju will have played an FA Cup match at home and will move directly to Suwon for the weekend game. Ultimately, the fatigue of the Jeju players is expected to increase significantly. The fact that Jeju's midfielders have managed to score points is a positive takeaway.
➎ Summary in Three Lines
[General Win/Draw/Loss] Suwon FC win (Recommended: Yes)
[Handicap / -1.0] Draw (Recommended: No)
[Over/Under / 2.5] Over (Recommended: Yes)