August 25 Premier League Wolves Chelsea Foreign Football Analysis Sports Analysis
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● Wolves (Premier League 19th / Win-Loss-Win-Loss-Loss)
Wolves have been relatively strong against Chelsea. Last season, they managed to achieve a double against them in the league, demonstrating how well their unique pressing and counterattacking strategies worked. Of course, the absence of Neto may be disappointing. He played a significant role in providing assists, proving very effective in breaking deadlocks. Although Hwang Hee-chan and Cunha are good at pressuring from the front, it's still better to view their play style as more suited to direct football rather than creative play.
- Absentees: Semedo (DF / Grade A), Gonzales (RW / Grade C), Kalajdzic (FW / Grade C)
● Chelsea (Premier League 17th / Loss-Loss-Draw-Loss-Win)
It is still challenging to guarantee the stability under Maresca’s management. In the first match against Manchester City, Enzo, Jackson, and Palmer all seemed to underperform. Particularly, Palmer appears to struggle with adapting to Maresca's style, often showing overlapping movements. Ultimately, the game didn’t go well overall, and coping with Wolverhampton's strong pressing poses its own challenges. Although they fielded a second-string side, the short recovery time of just two days between matches after the Conference League could also impact their physical condition.
- Absentees: Sterling (RW / Grade A), Chilwell (LB / Grade B), Chalobah (CB / Grade B), Disasi (DF / Grade B), James (RB / Grade A)
➋ Betting Data
○ Expected Goals (xG): 1.18 goals vs 1.46 goals
○ Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Probability: 60%
○ Total Expected Goals for Both Teams: 3.00 goals
○ Previous Head-to-Head Record: 20 matches, 6 wins, 4 draws, 10 losses (Chelsea advantage)
○ Over/Under in Previous Encounters: Over (55%)
○ Instances of Both Teams Scoring in Previous Records (BTTS): 40%
➌ Major Foreign Predictions
[Predictz] 0-2 (Chelsea win)
➍ Match Analysis & Betting Recommendation
I expect a draw. Considering Chelsea's weak performance against Wolves' unique pressing and quick transitions, this is a plausible choice. It is particularly unfortunate for Chelsea that key players have not yet adapted to the system, and the manager's arrangement of players is still not settled. Wolves may also feel the impact of Neto's absence.
➎ Summary in Three Lines
[General Win/Draw/Loss] Draw (Recommended o)
[Handicap / +1.0] Wolves win (Recommended x)
[Under/Over / 2.5] Under (Recommended o)