August 21st Emperor's Cup Football Kyoto Oita Asia Football Analysis Sports Analysis
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● Kyoto (Japan 1st Division 16th / Win-Loss-Win-Loss-Win)
Kyoto managed to escape the relegation zone by defeating Cerezo Osaka 5-3 initially.
Overall, they tend to show a strong performance when there's a lot of space available. Particularly, Kyoto stands out not only against Cerezo but also against stronger teams. This is partly due to Kyoto's strategy of pushing their defensive line high, which makes it difficult for opposing teams to take control in situations where they are trying to dominate.
However, they have historically struggled against Oita. This can be attributed to Oita's ability to effectively exploit situations that disregard Kyoto's pressure.
- Absentees: Shogo (DF / A grade), Fukuda (DF / A grade), Sota (DM / A grade)
● Oita (Japan 2nd Division 15th / Win-Win-Loss-Win-Loss)
Oita's playing style is quite long-ball oriented. The overall play is relatively simple, and when facing a strongly pressing team like Kyoto, this often leads to opportunities that target the space behind the opposing defense.
In fact, they showcased a strong attacking performance by defeating Kumamoto 1-0 in the league. Although it is difficult for them to create high-scoring situations due to their simple playing style, they have shown the ability to cover conceded goals in matches against strong teams like Nagasaki and Yokohama FC, managing to maintain a frustrating flow.
- Absentees: Yusei (FW / C grade), Samuel (FW / B grade), Takahashi (DF / C grade), Haneda (DF / B grade), Satsukawa (DF / A grade), Umesaki (MF / B grade), Nodake (MF / A grade)
➋ Betting Data
○ Expected goals (xG): 1.50 goals vs 0.98 goals
○ Both teams to score (BTTS): 50%
○ Combined expected goals for both teams: 3.00 goals
○ Previous head-to-head record: 8 matches 3 wins 3 draws 2 losses (Kyoto advantage)
○ Over/Under in previous encounters: Over (88%)
○ Instances where both teams scored in previous matches (BTTS): 75%
➍ Match Dynamics & Recommended Bets
A low-scoring outcome with a handicap bet on Oita might be a good choice. Kyoto tends to push their defensive line high, and in this scenario, Oita's concise long balls often leave them vulnerable to backspace. While Oita's play style tends to be quite straightforward, it is not regarded as an overwhelmingly advantageous flow for them.
➎ Summary
[Win/Draw/Loss] Draw (Recommended x)
[Handicap / -1.0] Oita Win (Recommended o)
[Over/Under / 2.5] Under (Recommended o)