August 20, 08:07 MLB Toronto Cincinnati Overseas Baseball Analysis Sports Analysis
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Toronto Blue Jays, who successfully broke their losing streak thanks to stellar pitching, will see Kevin Gausman (11 wins, 8 losses, 4.20 ERA) attempt to reach his 12th victory of the season. Gausman won by pitching 7 scoreless innings in an away game against the Angels on the 14th, maintaining an impressive record of 15 innings with only 2 earned runs allowed over his last 2 games. Particularly, his recent performance at home has been very strong, raising expectations for this match. Although they won the previous game, Toronto's lineup only managed a solo home run from Ropaffido in the second inning against Ima, making their ability to overcome poor performance on the road at home a crucial point to watch. They need to regain their focus with runners in scoring positions. The bullpen withstood 2 innings with only 1 hit and no earned runs, but it feels like they are just holding on by numbers.
Cincinnati Reds, suffering from poor performance leading to a series sweep defeat, will have Julian Aguiar making his Major League debut. Aguiar, who joined Cincinnati as a 12th-round pick in 2021, is a right-handed pitcher currently ranked 11th among prospects. This year in AAA INT, he recorded 3 wins, 1 loss, a 4.40 ERA, and a .243 opponent batting average. Overall, his performance does not look promising. The Reds’ lineup, having only scored 1 run in the previous game against Singer, must find a way to escape their offensive struggles over the weekend. The limitations of physical baseball seem evident. Casey Legumin allowed 4 earned runs in the last 2 innings, and it appears he is not capitalizing on the chances given.
Recently, the Reds' lineup has struggled significantly at home. It does not seem easy to attack Gausman on the road. Although Aguiar got the opportunity due to Hunter Greene's injury, facing a sinker baller like Gausman is nearly suicidal, and Cincinnati's bullpen has been shaky lately. The pitching staff of the Toronto Blue Jays holds the advantage, bringing them closer to victory.
Predicted score: 6-2 in favor of Toronto
Handicap: Toronto victory
Over/Under: Under