August 18 K League Ulsan vs. Suwon FC Asian Football Analysis Sports Analysis

August 18 K League Ulsan vs. Suwon FC Asian Football Analysis Sports Analysis

date_time 2024-08-16 19:20:02 comment
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● Ulsan (K League 1, South Korea 3rd / Win-Win-Loss-Loss-Win)

Ulsan defeated Daegu 1-0. Kim Pan-gon's first outing ended in victory. Although they allowed many shots from Daegu and it's still a process to improve the team's condition under coach Kim Pan-gon, it was somewhat disappointing that there were no goals scored apart from an own goal. However, the fact that they succeeded in breaking through without consistently relying on a U-shaped buildup against the opponent's low line is considered a significant achievement.

- Absentees: Kim Ji-hyun (FW / Grade B)

⦁ Suwon FC (K League 1, South Korea 5th / Win-Draw-Win-Loss-Loss)

It has now become difficult to trust Suwon FC's attacking power. Even though Lee Young-jun and Lee Seung-woo left the team during the transfer market, they did not acquire a foreign striker. As a result, in the last match, they even utilized tall center-back Choi Kyu-baek as a striker, but he did not show advantages beyond his aerial ability as he is not a specialist striker. Ultimately, coach Kim Eun-jung lamented that "it's difficult without a striker."

- Absentees: Lee Jun-seok (LW / Grade B), Ahn Byung-jun (FW / Grade B)

➋ Betting Data

○ Expected Goals (xG): 1.91 goals vs 1.50 goals

○ Both Teams to Score (BTTS): 46%

○ Total Expected Goals for Both Teams: 2.81 goals

○ Previous Head-to-Head Record: 15 matches, 12 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss (Ulsan superior)

○ Previous Match Over/Under: Over (67%)

○ Cases where both teams scored in previous records (BTTS): 60%

➌ Major Foreign Media Predictions

[Predictz] 2-2 (Draw)

➍ Match Outlook & Recommended Bets

Expecting an under (2.5) outcome and a Ulsan victory. Currently, I believe Ulsan has not yet solidified their performance under Kim Pan-gon. However, considering that they succeeded in breaking through the opponent's low line and that Suwon FC's current striker depth is broken, Ulsan is expected to gain an advantage even in a low-scoring situation.

➎ Three-Line Summary

[General Win/Draw/Loss] Ulsan Win (Recommended o)

[Handicap / -1.0] Draw (Recommended x)

[Over/Under / 2.5] Under (Recommended o)



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