Análisis deportivo del Eredivisie Willem II vs. Go Ahead Eagles del 18 de agosto.
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● Willem (11th in the Dutch 1st division / WWWD)
Willem had a 1-1 draw with Feyenoord. Of course, they repeated raising their guard for 90 minutes, and it is true that they only recorded two shots. In particular, Go Ahead tends to operate very aggressively against weaker teams. It seems that what was shown in the last game was largely due to Feyenoord's lack of finishing ability.
- Injured: Van Berkel (LB / Grade C)
● Go Ahead (16th in the Dutch 1st division / WWL)
Go Ahead also lost to Sittard, but they showed quite good form with over 60% possession and high expected goals. This means that the advantage of being strong against weaker teams has not completely disappeared. However, they did show some weaknesses in set-pieces, which may be a concern when weaker teams face stronger opponents.
- Injured: Dirksen (CB / Doubtful)
➋ Betting Data
○ Expected Goals (xG): 1.40 goals vs 2.08 goals
○ Scoring possibility for both sides (BTTS): 80%
○ Combined expected goals for both teams: 3.00 goals
○ Previous head-to-head record: 8 matches, 4 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses (Willem favored)
○ Previous match's under/over: Under (75%)
○ Instances where both teams scored in past records (BTTS): 25%
➌ Major Foreign Predictions
[Predictz] 3-0 (Willem win)
➍ Match outlook & Recommended betting
I expect a Go Ahead victory and an over (2.5) scenario. Both teams have been topics of significant surprises in the first round, but the match content flowed as expected. In particular, Go Ahead did not prove that they could dominate weaker teams with possession. They did seem to concede goals somewhat easily to methods that weaker teams might use against strong opponents.
➎ 3-line summary
[General Win/Draw/Loss] Go Ahead Win (Recommended o)
[Handicap / +1.0] Draw (Recommended x)
[Under/Over / 2.5] Over (Recommended o)