August 18 La Liga Valencia Barcelona Foreign Football Analysis Sports Analysis
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● Valencia (Spain 1st Division, 9th place / LLLWL)
Valencia can be considered quite an attractive team for their ability to use the age of their fairly young squad to apply pressure and push opponents. However, it must be noted that their tactics are far from refined, and especially against teams that can effectively relieve pressure, the efficiency of this strategy significantly drops. They haven't won against Barcelona since 2020 and have not won against teams ranked 3rd or higher last season.
- Injuries: Gayà (LB / Grade A), Doménech (GK / Grade C), Diakhabi (CB / Grade A)
● Barcelona (Spain 1st Division, 2nd place / WDLWL)
Barcelona has appointed Flick as their manager, and there are concerns about whether he will fit well with the team. They recently faced a shock by treating the Gamper Cup, which honors legends, merely as a preseason match, getting defeated 0-3. While the strong pressing they maintain may play a positive role in their attacking flow, it appears that the current depth in midfield is not very stable.
- Injuries: Fati (FW / Grade B), De Jong (CM / Grade A), Gavi (CM / Grade A), Pedri (CM / Doubtful), Araújo (CB / Grade A)
➋ Betting Data
○ Expected goals (xG): 1.47 goals vs 1.63 goals
○ Both teams to score (BTTS) probability: 60%
○ Combined expected goals: 3.00 goals
○ Previous head-to-head record: 37 games, 4 wins, 11 draws, 22 losses (Barcelona dominates)
○ Over/Under from previous encounters: Over (57%)
○ Cases where both teams scored in previous matches (BTTS): 65%
➌ Major Foreign Media Predictions
[Predictz] 0-2 (Barcelona win)
➍ Match Analysis & Recommended Bets
It seems that Barcelona, with good ability to relieve pressure, will consistently have the upper hand over Valencia. However, the real question may lie in Valencia's pressing and the synergy between Manager Flick and Barcelona. Considering this, it might be a good option to just observe the dynamics in the first round and bet on under (2.5).
➎ Summary in Three Lines
[General Win/Draw/Loss] Barcelona win (Recommended ✓)
[Handicap / +1.0] Barcelona win (Recommended ✗)
[Under/Over / 2.5] Under (Recommended ✓)