August 15 UEFA Super Cup Real Madrid Atalanta
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8th August 15th UEFA Super Cup Real Madrid Atalanta
● Real Madrid (Spain 1st Division 1st Place / Win-Loss-Loss-Loss-Win)
Preseason saw them lose all matches except the 2-1 victory against Chelsea. This was largely due to an extended rest period for Real Madrid's first-team players, but in this match, players like Mbappé, Bellingham, and Tchouaméni are expected to return. Real Madrid will be able to demonstrate their midfield capabilities and strengths in transitioning between offense and defense. However, they will have to resolve the mission of coordinating the movements of Vinícius and Mbappé.
- Absentees: None
● Atalanta (Italy 1st Division 5th Place / Win-Loss-Draw-Loss-Loss)
The early part of the season will not be easy. The key players in offense and defense, Scalvini and Scamacca, both suffered ACL injuries, confirming that they will miss the entire first half of the season. While Gasperini's unique aggressive and pressing style is quite good, considering the physicality of Real Madrid's midfield, it may be difficult for Gasperini to showcase his advantage of effectively utilizing attacking midfielders.
- Absentees: Scalvini (CB / Grade A), Scamacca (FW / Grade A)
➋ Betting Data
○ Expected Goals (xG): 1.49 goals vs 1.65 goals
○ Both Teams To Score (BTTS) likelihood: 40%
○ Combined expected goals for both teams: 3.00 goals
○ Previous head-to-head record: 2 matches, 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses (Real Madrid favored)
○ Previous match outcomes regarding under/over: Even (50%)
○ Instances where both teams scored in past encounters (BTTS): 50%
➌ Main Foreign Media Predictions
[Bettng closed] 2-1 (Real Madrid win)
➍ Match Outlook & Recommended Bets
Ultimately, I see Real Madrid as having the upper hand. All first-team members are returning, and in particular, their midfield control and transitions between offense and defense are expected to be among the best globally. However, considering that Mbappé joined early in preseason, the coordination of movements with Vinícius might affect Real Madrid's scoring capability.
➎ 3-line Summary
[General Win/Draw/Loss] Real Madrid win (Recommended o)
[Handicap / -1.0] Real Madrid win (Recommended x)
[Under/Over / 2.5] Under (Recommended x)