August 15th Eliteces Frederik Heugensun
-
Editing and deleting posts requires login
8 August 15 Elite Series Fredrikstad Haugusund
● Fredrikstad (Norway 1st Division 5th place / LWDWL)
Overall, they tend to be strong in counterattacking situations and defense. The problem is that they struggle to score even against lower-ranked teams, and thus cannot consistently maintain winning streaks. At home, they are unbeaten except for a 0-2 loss against Bodo/Glimt, but even without that, their record of 2 wins and 4 draws indicates a significant proportion of draws. Ultimately, their inconsistency in scoring during low-scoring situations is their Achilles' heel.
- Absentees: None
● Haugusund (Norway 1st Division 16th place / LLLWL)
Haugusund also needs to focus on defense. However, it is hard to say that they have an extremely low line; they have a notable weakness in leaving space behind. Particularly in away games, they tend to struggle to cover goals conceded, showing patterns of defense being breached multiple times. Their only success has been narrowly winning against relegation-threatened teams like Tromsø and Odd.
- Absentees: Vitsine (GK / C grade), Bartelsen (CB / A grade), Nyukuri (LB / A grade), Samuelsen (RW / C grade)
➋ Betting Data
○ Expected Goals (xG): 1.23 goals vs 1.34 goals
○ Both teams scoring likelihood (BTTS): 57%
○ Total expected goals for both teams: 2.75 goals
○ Previous head-to-head record: 4 matches 1 win 1 draw 2 losses (Haugusund has the edge)
○ Previous match under/over record: Under (75%)
○ Instances where both teams scored in previous encounters (BTTS): 25%
➌ Major International Predictions
[Predictz] 2-1 (Fredrikstad Win)
➍ Match Outlook & Recommended Betting
I expect a victory for Fredrikstad with a handicap draw. Although Haugusund is taking a defensive approach, they reveal significant weaknesses in penetrating the space behind. However, considering Fredrikstad's tendency for low-scoring games, they are not particularly equipped to win by a large margin.
➎ Summary in Three Lines
[General Win/Draw/Loss] Fredrikstad Win (Recommended o)
[Handicap / -1.0] Draw (Recommended x)
[Under/Over / 2.5] Over (Recommended x)