[Major Match] June 9th Friendly: Spain vs. Northern Ireland Overseas Soccer Analysis Sports Analysis
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❶ Key Analysis
● Spain (FIFA Ranking 8th / WWDLDW)
Easily defeated Andorra. It was significant that they managed to break through the ‘ten-back’ defense, which Spain finds particularly challenging. Moreover, the match was essentially played by the B team, with key players like Rodri missing. Spain is expected to effectively maintain their possession game against Northern Ireland as well.
- Absent players: Tanko (DF / B-grade), Alba (LB / A-grade), Gavi (MF / B-grade), Sarabia (RW / B-grade), Moreno (FW / B-grade), Asensio (RW / B-grade), Moreno (FW / B-grade) ➤ Overall power -14%.
● Northern Ireland (FIFA Ranking 73rd / LLLWD)
Key players Magennis and Evans (MF) are currently without teams. Evans, the defensive leader, also has a tenuous position at Man Utd this season. Bringing in unemployed players indicates the difficulty in assembling a full strength squad. Against Moldova, they operated a five-back defense and relinquished possession, a tactic Spain had no issues overcoming.
- Absent players: Washington (FW / A-grade), White (MF / A-grade), Saville (MF / A-grade), McNair (MF / A-grade) ➤ Overall power -15%.
➋ Betting Data
○ Expected Goals (xG): 2.42 goals vs 1.10 goals
○ Both teams to score (BTTS) possibility: 30%
○ Combined expected goals: 3.00 goals
➍ Match Dynamics & Recommended Betting
Spain is predicted to win comfortably. Their dominant possession and ability to break through a ‘ten-back’ defense against Andorra were crucial. Northern Ireland’s squad, including players without teams, is not in an ideal position in terms of quality.
➎ Summary in 3 Lines
[Main bet - Win/Draw/Lose] Spain win (recommended)
[Handicap / -2.0] Spain win (recommended)
[Over/Under 3.5] Over (recommended)