June 9 Friendly Denmark Norway Overseas Soccer Analysis Sports Analysis
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❶ Core Analysis
● Denmark (FIFA Ranking 21 / Wins-Draws-Losses-Wins-Wins)
They successfully defeated Sweden. However, it should be noted that Sweden adopted a very passive approach, which allowed players like Højbjerg and Eriksen to showcase their skills to some extent. Norway's attacking players have superior mobility compared to Denmark. Højbjerg and Eriksen are not midfielders with strengths in transition situations. Therefore, Norwegian players with better mobility could be quite a challenge for Denmark.
- Absentees: Larsen (DF / A-class), Braithwaite (FW / B-class), Jørgensen (DF / B-class), Lindstrøm (MF / B-class), Skov (FW / A-class) ➤ Overall team strength reduced by 15%
● Norway (FIFA Ranking 47 / Wins-Draws-Losses-Draws-Wins)
Norway's defense has always been considered a weak point. Although Coach Solbakken prefers a highly offensive style of play, he lacks talent in stabilizing the defense. However, with Haaland in the squad, they have a player who can decisively finish attacks, helping Norway achieve generally good results.
- Absentees: Elyounoussi (MF / A-class), Meling (DF / A-class), Sørloth (FW / A-class), Dæhli (MF / B-class) ➤ Overall team strength reduced by 14%
❷ Betting Data
○ Expected Goals (xG): 1.95 goals vs 2.08 goals
○ Both Teams to Score (BTTS): 55%
○ Combined Expected Goals: 3.00 goals
○ Head-to-Head Record: 2 matches, 2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses (Denmark’s advantage)
○ Under/Over in Previous Encounters: Under (75%)
○ Instances of Both Teams Scoring (BTTS) in Previous Encounters: 75%
❹ Match Dynamics & Recommended Bets
Norway is expected to make a significant impact. Especially with their highly mobile attacking line, they may overwhelm Denmark in terms of speed. Although Norway has chronic defensive issues, their firepower is expected to remain strong. Combining this with a recommendation for Over (2.5) seems viable.
❺ Three-Point Summary
[General Outcome: Win/Draw/Loss] Norway Win (Recommended)
[Handicap / -1.0] Norway Win (Recommended)
[Under/Over / 2.5] Over (Recommended)