[Main Match] June 9 Friendly: Portugal vs Croatia International Soccer Analysis Sports Analysis
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❶ Core Analysis
● Portugal (FIFA ranking 6th / WWLWW)
In the last match, they completely controlled the game and broke through Finland with a 4-2 victory. In particular, based on the performance of the wingers, they struck the opponent's goal with cutbacks and mid-range shots. However, it's a fact that Croatia can still show a certain level of performance in the central area. Ultimately, unlike the match against Finland, it will be difficult for Portugal to overwhelmingly dominate in numbers in attack.
- Absentees: Guerreiro (DF / A class), Sanchez (MF / B class) ➤ Total team strength -11%
⦁ Croatia (FIFA ranking 10th / WWDDW)
Croatia also recorded a 3-0 victory in the last match. Of course, it's hard to overlook that the opponent sat back in a 3-5-2 formation, allowing them to control the game for long periods. While the midfield players with class can ensure they don't lose the battle for control, it's tough to show overwhelming dominance against Portugal. It may also be challenging for Croatia to create clear chances in attack.
- Absentees: Barisic (DF / B class), Brekalo (FW / B class), Livaja (FW / B class) ➤ Total team strength -13%
➋ Betting Data
○ Expected Goals (xG): 2.49 goals vs 1.68 goals
○ Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Probability: 25%
○ Combined Expected Goals: 3.00 goals
○ Previous Match-up Record: 4 matches, 3 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses (Portugal advantage)
○ Over/Under in Previous Matches: Even (50%)
○ Both teams scored in previous matches (BTTS): 75%
➌ Game Dynamics & Recommended Bets
Currently, the Under (2.5) seems probable, with a possible draw. It's difficult to dominate the central battle. Despite recent game results and increased scoring potentials, the previous opponents were relatively weaker compared to these two teams. Hence, it's hard to expect many opportunities like in the previous matches.
➍ Summary in 3 Lines
[1X2 Bet] Draw (Recommended O)
[Handicap / -1.0] Croatia Win (Not Recommended x)
[Over/Under / 2.5] Under (Recommended o)