July 9, 2023, 5:05 AM, Washington vs. St. Louis: MLB Game Analysis
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Washington
Mitchell Parker (5-4, 3.61 ERA) is aiming for his 6th win of the season. Parker's performance has declined recently, as evidenced by his poor outing on the 4th against the Mets, where he allowed 5 runs over 6 innings. However, his daytime stats are much better, with a record of 3-3 and an ERA of 3.20, which might be something to rely on. In the previous game, Washington's batting lineup managed only 3 runs against Gibson and couldn't exploit St. Louis' bullpen, which eventually led to their defeat. The team hit into 2 double plays and had just 2 hits in 9 at-bats with runners in scoring position – a bonus, so to speak. The bullpen, which allowed 3 runs in 4.2 innings, has to concede its relative inferiority.
St. Louis
Miles Mikolas (6-7, 5.19 ERA) is aiming for his 7th win of the season. Mikolas overcame his home game struggles with an impressive performance on the 4th against Pittsburgh, allowing only 2 runs over 6 innings. He’s currently on a streak of six consecutive quality starts on the road, and his 7-inning, 2-run performance against Washington last year gives hope. In the previous game, St. Louis' lineup, driven by Wilson Contreras' decisive 2-run homer, scored 8 runs, showing strength throughout the series. They’ve been exceptionally good at targeting starting pitchers. The bullpen, which held the opposition scoreless over 4 innings with just 2 hits allowed, secured the win even without utilizing the main relievers.
Comment
This series has been tough on the starting pitchers of both teams, and this game is expected to unfold similarly. St. Louis, which has been strong against left-handed pitchers throughout the series, will be grateful to face another left-hander. Washington, which has been effective against right-handed pitchers of similar type, will also find Mikolas a worthy opponent. However, the difference in bullpen strength is significant and will be a deciding factor in the game. St. Louis Cardinals, with their superior pitching, are closer to victory.
Recommended Betting
[[Win/Loss]]: St. Louis win
[[Handicap]]: +1.5 St. Louis win
[[O/U]]: Over 8.5 ▲