Analysis and Predictions of the UEFA Euro Spain vs France Match on July 10, 2023
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Spain vs France Match Analysis and Predictions
Spain (FIFA Ranking 8th)
Defeated Germany after a fierce battle that went into extra time. They have even overcome the host nation's jinx, making it seem like no team can stop Spain at the moment. The flair of their wingers was somewhat effective even against Germany.
However, in tournaments, Spain tends to be quite cautious against strong teams, and their offensive power is considerably reduced compared to the group stages. It's also a fact that France's defensive strength cannot be underestimated.
Absent: Carvajal (RB / Grade A), Pedri (MF / Grade A), Le Normand (CB / Grade A)
France (FIFA Ranking 2nd)
Advanced to the semifinals without a field goal. Apart from one penalty kick, France has not conceded any goals, indicating their defense is in top form. However, their attacking precision is still lacking, and it’s particularly disappointing that Griezmann, who determines the team's performance, has been absent throughout the Euros.
Mbappe also seems not to be at 100% due to a nasal bone fracture.
Absent: None
Betting Data
Expected Goals (xG): 1.60 goals vs 1.60 goals
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): 40%
Total Expected Goals: 3.00 goals
Previous Head-to-Head Records: 3 matches, 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses (France advantage)
Under/Over in Previous Encounters: Over (67%)
Both Teams to Score in Previous Matches (BTTS): 67%
Major Foreign Predictions
[Predictz] 1-1 (Draw)
Match Overview & Recommended Bets
Spain is seen as having a slight edge. Given the nature of the tournament, Spain is not expected to play very aggressively. France's defensive capabilities are commendable, but their attacking precision, with no field goals, is a problem. It’s somewhat embarrassing to compare it with Spain’s current firepower, which can transition between slow-possession and quick counter-attacks.
Summary in Three Lines
[Win/Draw/Loss] Spain Win (Recommended o)
[Handicap / -1.0] Draw (Not Recommended x)
[Under/Over / 2.5] Under (Recommended o)