"July 8, 2023 02:40 MLB: Cincinnati vs. Detroit Game Overseas Baseball Analysis and Sports Predictions"
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Cincinnati Reds vs Detroit Tigers Game Prediction
Cincinnati Reds Analysis
The Cincinnati Reds, who suffered a comeback loss due to a careless bullpen operation, will have Graham Ashcraft (5 wins, 4 losses, ERA 5.45) vying for his 6th win of the season. Ashcraft achieved a victory with 5 innings and 3 runs allowed during an away game against the Yankees on the 3rd, proving that he's a reasonable option for a game-opening starter. However, the concern is that he's following Greene and it's a home day game, which he struggles the most with. In the previous game, Cincinnati's offense managed only 3 runs, including a solo home run by Spencer Steer, against Detroit's rotational match-up, continuing their very poor hitting performance at home in this series. What’s particularly problematic is their severe drought in scoring opportunities. The pitching performance of Fernando Cruz, who blew the team's victory as soon as he took the mound, reflects the manager's mistake in breaking the established order by not sending in Sam Moll in the 8th inning.
Detroit Tigers Analysis
The Detroit Tigers, who achieved consecutive wins powered by their offense, will have Tarik Skubal (9 wins, 3 losses, ERA 2.45) going for his 10th win of the season. Skubal showed a performance with 6 innings and 3 runs allowed in an away game against Minnesota on the 3rd, but he’s been showing a shaky form with 3 consecutive away games allowing at least 3 runs. The biggest variable in this game would be his tendency to falter in day games, albeit with a 4-2 record and ERA of 2.98. Detroit's offense, which had been stymied by Hunter Greene’s pitching in the previous game but scored five runs, including Wenceel Perez’s 2-run tying home run against Cincinnati's bullpen, showed a rare display of focus, which is positive. They have been utilizing GABP well. The bullpen managed to hold the game with 3 runs allowed in the rotational match-up, and it was fortunate that Andrew Chafin extinguished the fire efficiently.
Game Comprehensive Analysis
In this series, Cincinnati's batters have been unable to carry over the form they showed in the midseason series. Even though Skubal struggles in day games, he should be able to stifle Cincinnati's lineup. Ultimately, Ashcraft's performance will be the key, but he tends to incur significant losses when pitching after Greene, particularly as his cutter becomes ineffective in day games. Detroit Tigers, who have the edge in starting pitching, are closer to securing the win.
Predicted Score
6:3 Detroit Victory
Handicap
Detroit Victory
Over/Under
Over