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Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Game Analysis

Atlanta Braves: Reynaldo Lopez

The Atlanta Braves, who succeeded in their counterattack with a blend of pitching and batting, will aim for Reynaldo Lopez's (6 wins, 2 losses, 1.83 ERA) 7th win of the season. Lopez showed disappointing pitching in the July 3 home game against San Francisco with 4.1 innings and 2 runs, indicating a shaky performance in home night games, which is a concerning factor. Although he has had slight shortcomings in day games this year, he can still manage 5-6 innings well enough. In the previous day's game, the Atlanta lineup scored 5 runs, including two home runs, against Suarez, which was critical to their win. This dual home run was essential, reflecting both the strengths and weaknesses of the current Atlanta team. Atlanta's bullpen, which covered 3 innings, can be trusted, at least when it comes to the winning lineup.

Philadelphia Phillies: Michael Mercado

The Philadelphia Phillies, whose starting pitcher’s poor performance led to a complete defeat, will have Michael Mercado (1 win, 1.50 ERA) aiming for his second win of the season. Mercado, who earned a win with a superb performance of 5 innings, 2 hits, and 1 run in a July 3 away game against the Cubs, has proven his 1.00 ERA in AAA was no fluke. Notably, the speed of the balls he allows is relatively low, leaving room for optimism in this game. In the previous game, the Phillies' lineup only scored one point against Schwellenbach, losing the momentum they had against Fried. The team’s success seems to hinge on Turner and Bohm; if they falter, nothing else works. Thankfully, the bullpen that covered 3 innings did its part, despite the loss.

Game Outlook

Both teams have faced defeats even when putting forward their ace pitchers in this series. Following this trend, Atlanta might be at a disadvantage. Although the Philadelphia lineup struggled against Schwellenbach in the previous game, they might still have a hard time, but Mercado's pitching could sufficiently control the Atlanta lineup. This game is likely to turn into a bullpen showdown, with Philadelphia’s major weakness being close contests in the final day game of the series. The Atlanta Braves, who have the upper hand in the matchup, are closer to victory.

Predicted Score

Atlanta 4:3 Victory

Handicap and Over/Under

Handicap: Philadelphia Victory

Over/Under: Under

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