Analysis and Outlook of the Italy vs Lithuania Basketball Game in the Olympics on July 7, 2024
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# Home Team: Italy (FIBA Ranking 13th, 1 win, 1 loss)
Italy recorded a 69-80 loss against Puerto Rico in the previous game but secured a 114-53 victory against Bahrain in the first game of the tournament. NBA player Danilo Gallinari (14 points) and the big man from the European League Nicolò Melli led a 5-point lead in the first half, but in the second half, the game was mainly played by the second unit. The playing time of the Best 5 players was managed to be under 23 minutes.
# Away Team: Lithuania (FIBA Ranking 10th, 2 wins)
Lithuania recorded a 97-93 victory against Côte d'Ivoire in the previous game and a 96-84 victory against Mexico in the first game. Although Jonas Valančiūnas was absent, NBA player Domantas Sabonis (22 points, 9 rebounds) dominated the paint. Lithuania showed strong resilience in the 4th quarter and had an advantage in the rebound battle. Additionally, Marijus Grigonis (18 points) and veteran forward Mindaugas Kuzminskas had notable performances, creating many open three-point opportunities through coordinated passing plays.
# Head-to-Head Characteristics
In their most recent encounter, Italy recorded a 73-86 loss on the road. Over the last 5 games, Italy has a record of 4 wins and 1 loss.
# Betting Recommendation
The match is held at a neutral venue in San Juan (Puerto Rico). Lithuania is expected to create opportunities through unselfish team play while dominating the boards. Additionally, Lithuania's fast breaks after rebounds will likely be frequent.
Lithuania Victory
Win&Loss => Loss
Handicap => Loss
Under&Over => Under or Pass