July 7, 2023, 5:05 AM MLB Washington vs. St. Louis Game
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Washington vs. St. Louis Game Analysis
Washington
MacKenzie Gore (6 wins, 7 losses, 3.47 ERA) is challenging for his 7th win of the season. On the 2nd, Gore showed solid pitching with 1 earned run over 5.2 innings in a home game against the Mets, which is encouraging as he has somewhat overcome his struggles at home. Last year, he had a poor performance against St. Louis, allowing 5 earned runs over 6 innings and losing the game. However, he has a record of 3 wins, 3 losses, and a 2.85 ERA in day games this year, making this game a crucial one. In the previous game, Washington's offense scored 6 runs, including a solo home run by Luis Garcia, against Sonny Gray but ultimately lost due to a lack of focus in extra innings. Juan Yepez, who showed a disappointing at-bat with 1 out and runners on 2nd and 3rd in the bottom of the 10th, proved why he remained in AAA despite having 2500 plate appearances. The bullpen, which allowed 4 runs in the last 4 innings, will likely have repercussions throughout the series as the key relievers collapsed.
St. Louis
Lance Lynn (4 wins, 3 losses, 3.59 ERA) is challenging for his 5th win of the season. On the 1st, Lynn secured a victory with 6 scoreless innings and 2 hits in a home game against Cincinnati, showcasing excellent pitching in his last two home games with over 6 innings and 1 run or less. On the other hand, his performance on the road has been poor, allowing more than 4 runs in 2 consecutive starts. However, he has a record of 1 win, 1 loss, and a 3.25 ERA in day games with a .215 opposing batting average, making this game crucial. In the previous game, St. Louis's offense scored 7 runs, including a game-tying solo home run by Wilson Contreras in the top of the 9th, systematically targeting Washington's pitchers. It is fortunate that they showed excellent focus in their first road game. Nolan Arenado, who hit 4 times, is gradually regaining his batting rhythm. The bullpen, which held on with 1 run over 6 innings, has the variable of being unable to use Helsley in this game.
Comment
The previous game could be seen as one Washington lost due to its own mistakes. The batting of Yepez, who missed a golden opportunity with a double play with one out and the bases loaded, and Riley Adams's defensive mistake with a passed ball with one out and a runner on third in the top of the 11th, costing the game-winning run, suggest that backup players are adversely impacting the team's performance. Considering the performance of both teams in the previous game, the starting matchup is likely to be quite close, but the bullpen's aftereffects from Game 1 will impact Washington throughout the series. St. Louis Cardinals, who have the edge in late-game performance, are closer to victory.
Recommended Betting
[[Win/Loss]] : St. Louis Win
[[Handicap]] : +1.5 St. Louis Win
[[U/O]] : 8.5 Under ▼