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Gangwon (4th in South Korea Division 1 / D-L-L-W)

Gangwon (4th in South Korea Division 1 / D-W-L-L-W)

Gangwon is generally weak against Gwangju. Gangwon tends to stick to a highly aggressive pressing and playing style, which leaves many gaps against Gwangju, who like to press and advance. Although they are preparing for a false nine tactic using Lee Sang-heon in anticipation of Yang Min-hyeok and Yago's absence, they already experienced a 2-4 loss to Gwangju this season despite scoring two goals.

Absentees

Gabriel (FW / Grade A), Yuta (AM / Grade B), Yoon Seok-young (DF / Grade A), Kim I-seok (MF / Grade A), Kim Dae-woo (MF / Grade A)

Gwangju (8th in South Korea Division 1 / W-W-L-L-W)

Gwangju also doesn't frequently create situations where they win by a large margin. It might be due to Heo Yul's conversion to a center back, but overall their finishing ability in attack is somewhat lacking. However, they still create effective plays through organic movements and planned plays, so it's not an issue with their tactics.

Absentees

Lee Min-ki (LB / Grade A), Asani (FW / Grade A), Byun Jun-soo (DF / Grade A), Choi Kyung-rok (FW / Grade A)

Betting Data

○ Expected Goals (xG): 1.74 goals vs 1.29 goals

○ Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Possibility: 79%

○ Combined Expected Goals of Both Teams: 3.24 goals

○ Previous Head-to-Head Record: 19 matches, 4 wins, 8 draws, 7 losses (Gwangju advantage)

○ Over/Under in Previous Matches: Over (53%)

○ Both Teams Scored in Previous Matches (BTTS): 74%

Major Foreign Predictions

[Predcitz] 2-0 (Gangwon Win)

Match Outlook & Recommended Bet

Expecting a Gwangju victory in an over (2.5) scenario. Gwangju prefers to press and advance, and Gangwon tends to struggle in this type of game. Although Gwangju is not without issues in finishing, Gangwon’s aggressive style is likely to lead to a close match with few goals.

3-Line Summary

[Win/Draw/Loss] Gwangju Win (Recommended)

[Handicap / +1.0] Draw (Not Recommended)

[Over/Under / 2.5] Over (Recommended)