July 6, 2023, 08:05 MLB New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Game In-Depth Analysis
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**New York Yankees Suffer Series Sweep Defeat Due to Pitching Issues**
Nestor Cortes (4 wins, 7 losses, 3.51 ERA) aims for his fifth win of the season. Cortes suffered a loss on the road against Toronto on the 30th, allowing 3 runs in 4.1 innings, showcasing his weakness on the road. He's a pitcher with a clear advantage in home games, and it's worth noting that he has been strong in night games this year with 4 wins and 4 losses and a 2.63 ERA. In the previous game, the Yankees' offense managed only 4 runs courtesy of 3 home runs against Montas and Martinez, highlighting a critical issue where runs don't come unless it’s through home runs. The 5-for-1 batting average with runners in scoring position reveals significant inconsistency in the lineup. The bullpen, which allowed 3 runs in 4 innings, remains this team's biggest weakness.
**Boston Red Sox Ride Four-Game Winning Streak with Focused Offense**
Tanner Houck (7 wins, 6 losses, 2.67 ERA) aims for his eighth win of the season. Houck suffered a loss with a poor performance of 8 runs in 4.1 innings in a home game against San Diego on the 30th, showing some inconsistency with a 2-1 record and a 4.85 ERA in June. He recorded a loss with 2 runs in 6 innings against the Yankees last year, but considering his recent pitching, a QS is the best expectation. In the previous game against Miami, the Red Sox's lineup scored 6 runs, largely influenced by their five stolen bases. The 4-for-18 with runners in scoring position is somewhat disappointing. The bullpen, which allowed 5 runs in 5 innings and blew Pivetta’s win, has been heavily taxed recently.
**Recent Yankees’ Lineup and Cortes’ Variables**
The Yankees' lineup has had significant issues with run production outside of home runs. Considering Houck's recent pitching, this game won’t be easy either. The key is how long Cortes can hold up. Recently, Boston has been performing well against left-handed pitchers, and Cortes' pitching style is something Boston is somewhat familiar with after the Miami game. Boston Red Sox, leading in this matchup, are closer to victory.
Predicted Score: 5:4 Boston Victory
Handicap: Boston Victory
Over/Under: Over
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