[July 7 Norway Eliteserien FK Bodø/Glimt vs SK Brann Match Analysis and Overseas Sports Information]
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Bodo/Glimt (1st place in Norway Division 1 / DWDWW)
In general, matches against Brann tend to involve a lot of goals. Since both teams are among the top levels in midfield and attack, the outcome is somewhat predictable. Recently, Bodo/Glimt have had a tough time against Brann with 2 draws and 1 loss, largely due to frequent chaotic situations. This season, Brann still surpasses Bodo/Glimt in some attacking stats, but Bodo/Glimt slightly leads in big chance misses and average goals.
- Absentees: Hauge (FW / B grade), Espejord (FW / C grade), Fet (CM / C grade), Sorlie (RW / A grade), Skytte (CM / C grade)
Brann (2nd place in Norway Division 1 / DWLWW)
This season, Brann ranks first in both touches in the box and big chance creation. In some aspects, their attacking stats are even better than Bodo/Glimt's. However, they also miss a lot of big chances, and crucially, they struggle in matches against top teams. This season, they have not recorded a single victory against teams ranked 6th or higher, raising doubts about whether Brann's stats might be inflated.
- Absentees: Torsvik (LB / C grade), Sande (RW / C grade), Simba (CM / C grade), Wassberg (CM / A grade)
Betting Data
○ Expected goals (xG): 1.54 goals vs 1.74 goals
○ Both teams to score (BTTS) probability: 59%
○ Combined expected goals: 2.58 goals
○ Head-to-head record: 14 matches, 5 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses (even match)
○ Over/under in previous encounters: Over (79%)
○ Both teams scoring in previous encounters: 79%
Major Foreign Predictions
[Predictz] 3-2 (Bodo/Glimt win)
Match Outlook & Recommended Betting
The probability of over 2.5 goals is high, and an advantage for Bodo/Glimt is expected. Although Brann has the best expected goals and attacking stats in the league, they often struggle against strong teams. Bodo/Glimt surpasses Brann in average goals and success rate of big chances.
3-line Summary
[Win/Draw/Loss] Bodo/Glimt win (recommended)
[Handicap / -1.0] Draw (not recommended)
[Under/Over / 2.5] Over (recommended)