July 7th Major League Soccer: Austin FC vs New York City FC International Football and Sports Analysis
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Austin (Western Conference 8th Place / LLDWL)
On the road, they generally struggle. However, at home, they play quite aggressively, averaging 1.8 goals per game, which is a strong point. Although their defense is inconsistent both home and away, it is certain that their strengths are more pronounced at home. In matches against strong teams like LAFC and LA Galaxy at home, their record is good with 1 win and 1 draw.
- Absentees: Cascante (DF / A-grade), Pereira (AM / A-grade), Rubio (FW / A-grade)
New York City (Eastern Conference 5th Place / LLLWW)
New York City's problem is the significant difference in performance between home and away games. Especially at home, their game control drops, resulting in significantly lower scoring. Of the 32 goals they have scored this season, only 7 were scored away. However, it is somewhat reassuring that New York City does not concede many goals when they temporarily drop their line.
- Absentees: Jones (RW / A-grade)
Betting Data
○ Expected Goals (xG): 1.25 goals vs 1.13 goals
○ Both Teams to Score (BTTS) probability: 52%
○ Total expected goals: 2.65 goals
Major Foreign Predictions
[Predictz] 1-1 (Draw)
Game Analysis & Recommended Betting
It is reasonable to expect a draw. Austin, playing at home, is in good form offensively. Although New York City concedes fewer goals away, their scoring power is lacking in a less dominant scenario. Austin's defense is not solid either, hence a tight contest is anticipated.
3-Line Summary
[Win/Draw/Loss] Draw (recommended)
[Handicap / +1.0] Austin Win (not recommended)
[Under/Over / 2.5] Over (recommended)
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