New York Yankees vs. Boston (MLB July 6th 08:05)
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◈ New York Yankees
Nestor Cortes (4 wins, 7 losses, 3.51 ERA) is challenging for his 5th win of the season. In the away game against Toronto on the 30th, Cortes showed his vulnerability on the road by allowing 3 runs in 4.1 innings, resulting in a loss. He is a pitcher with a clear strength in home games and has been strong in night games this year with a record of 4 wins, 4 losses, and a 2.63 ERA. It's crucial to note that in the previous game, the Yankees' lineup managed to score only 4 runs with 3 home runs against Montas and Martinez, indicating their struggle to score runs outside of home runs. The performance in scoring positions with 1 hit in 5 at-bats speaks to the lineup's significant inconsistencies. The bullpen, allowing 3 runs in 4 innings, remains this team's biggest weakness.
◈ Boston
Tanner Houck (7 wins, 6 losses, 2.67 ERA) is aiming for his 8th win of the season. Houck suffered an 8-run performance in 4.1 innings during the home game against San Diego on the 30th, reflecting a slight decline in his pitching throughout June with a record of 2 wins, 1 loss, and a 4.85 ERA. He recorded a 6-inning, 2-run loss against the Yankees on the road last year, and considering his recent pitching, the expectation would be around a quality start. Boston's lineup, which scored 6 runs against Miami's pitchers the previous day, showed that 5 stolen bases were critical to their victory. Despite the 4 hits in 18 at-bats with runners in scoring positions being somewhat disappointing, the bullpen, which allowed 5 runs in 5 innings and cost Pivetta the win, has been experiencing high usage issues lately.
◈ Comment
The Yankees' lineup has considerable issues with scoring runs outside of home runs recently. Considering Houck's recent pitching, this game also looks challenging. The key will be how long Cortes can hold up, but Boston has been performing well against left-handed pitchers and is already familiar with Cortes' pitching style from their previous matchup against Miami. The Boston Red Sox, with a favorable matchup, are closer to victory.
◈ Recommended Betting
[[Win/Loss]]: Boston Win
[[Handicap]]: +1.5 Boston Win
[[Over/Under]]: Over 8.5