July 6th 07:40 MLB Pittsburgh vs New York Mets Game
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◈ Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh's Paul Skenes (4 wins, 2.06 ERA) is attempting to secure his fifth win of the season. On the 30th, Skenes pitched 6 innings with 1 run allowed against Atlanta, showing a strong performance, but he was unable to secure the win due to a leadoff home run. Strictly speaking, his last appearance wasn't particularly impressive, but he has been notably strong in recent home games. His main strength lies in his night game performance, with a batting average against of .169 in such conditions. Pittsburgh's lineup managed only 2 runs, including a solo home run by Bryan Reynolds against Palante and King in the previous game, highlighting significant hitting struggles in recent home games. They are especially struggling against fastball pitchers. Dennis Santana, who failed to manage the top of the 10th inning tiebreaker, showed the importance of using pitchers suited to the situation.
◈ New York Mets
New York Mets' Luis Severino (5 wins, 2 losses, 3.42 ERA) is aiming for his sixth win of the season. On the 1st, Severino pitched 7 innings with 4 runs allowed in a home game against Houston, showing some shakiness in his recent performances. On April 18th, Severino secured a 6-inning, 1-run win in a home game against Pittsburgh, and his recent away game pitching has also been good. He performs well in night games, allowing him to make a strong bid in this matchup. However, the Mets' lineup was completely shut down by Jake Irvin’s pitching in the previous game, managing only 1 hit in a shutout loss, and they struggled with the pressure of the 11 AM game. Their drop in form on the road is expected to be their biggest weakness in this game. Adrian Houser, who conceded a game-deciding home run immediately upon his appearance, seems to be more suited as a starter.
◈ Comment
Skenes is strong in home games, and Pittsburgh struggles against fastball pitchers. The Mets have the issue of travelling to Pittsburgh right after an 11 AM game. This game is likely to involve a pitchers' duel, and Pittsburgh's bullpen is more stable compared to the Mets'. This edge in pitching may determine the outcome. The Pittsburgh Pirates have the advantage in pitching, making them closer to victory.
◈ Recommended Bets
[[Win/Loss]]: Pittsburgh Win
[[Handicap]]: +1.5 New York Mets Win
[[Over/Under]]: Under 7.5